Split personalities in Bayesian Neural Networks: the case for full marginalisation
David Yallup, Will Handley, Mike Hobson, Anthony Lasenby, Pablo Lemos

TL;DR
This paper emphasizes the importance of fully marginalizing over all posterior modes in Bayesian neural networks to capture their multimodal nature, which enhances their generalizability and interpretability.
Contribution
It demonstrates that complete posterior marginalization reveals multiple network modes, improving reasoning and generalization beyond existing approximate methods.
Findings
Full marginalization captures multiple network modes.
Networks with full marginalization generalize better.
Multimodality enhances interpretability and reasoning.
Abstract
The true posterior distribution of a Bayesian neural network is massively multimodal. Whilst most of these modes are functionally equivalent, we demonstrate that there remains a level of real multimodality that manifests in even the simplest neural network setups. It is only by fully marginalising over all posterior modes, using appropriate Bayesian sampling tools, that we can capture the split personalities of the network. The ability of a network trained in this manner to reason between multiple candidate solutions dramatically improves the generalisability of the model, a feature we contend is not consistently captured by alternative approaches to the training of Bayesian neural networks. We provide a concise minimal example of this, which can provide lessons and a future path forward for correctly utilising the explainability and interpretability of Bayesian neural networks.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFault Detection and Control Systems · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning
