BeyondPlanck XII. Cosmological parameter constraints with end-to-end error propagation

TL;DR

This paper introduces a Bayesian end-to-end framework for cosmological parameter estimation from raw data, demonstrating improved uncertainty quantification and consistency with previous results using Planck and WMAP data.

Contribution

The paper presents a novel Bayesian analysis method that propagates errors from raw data to parameters, providing more reliable uncertainties and better handling of astrophysical degeneracies.

Findings

Results are consistent with Planck 2018 and WMAP within 1 sigma.

Uncertainty estimates are about 30% larger, indicating more comprehensive error modeling.

Approximately 2000 Monte Carlo samples are needed for robust convergence.

Abstract

We present cosmological parameter constraints as estimated using the Bayesian BeyondPlanck (BP) analysis framework. This method supports seamless end-to-end error propagation from raw time-ordered data to final cosmological parameters. As a first demonstration of the method, we analyze time-ordered Planck LFI observations, combined with selected external data (WMAP 33-61GHz, Planck HFI DR4 353 and 857GHz, and Haslam 408MHz) in the form of pixelized maps which are used to break critical astrophysical degeneracies. Overall, all results are generally in good agreement with previously reported values from Planck 2018 and WMAP, with the largest relative difference for any parameter of about 1 sigma when considering only temperature multipoles between 29<l<601. In cases where there are differences, we note that the BP results are generally slightly closer to the high-l HFI-dominated Planck 2018 results than previous analyses, suggesting slightly less tension between low and high multipoles. Using low-l polarization information from LFI and WMAP, we find a best-fit value of tau=0.066 +/- 0.013, which is higher than the low value of tau=0.051 +/- 0.006 derived from Planck 2018 and slightly lower than the value of 0.069 +/- 0.011 derived from joint analysis of official LFI and WMAP products. Most importantly, however, we find that the uncertainty derived in the BP processing is about 30% larger than when analyzing the official products, after taking into account the different sky coverage. We argue that this is due to marginalizing over a more complete model of instrumental and astrophysical parameters, and this results in both more reliable and more rigorously defined uncertainties. We find that about 2000 Monte Carlo samples are required to achieve robust convergence for low-resolution CMB covariance matrix with 225 independent modes.