Machine Learning to Support Triage of Children at Risk for Epileptic Seizures in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit

TL;DR

This study develops a machine learning-based triage tool using ECG and clinical data to identify children at risk for epileptic seizures in the PICU, aiming to optimize resource allocation and improve patient outcomes.

Contribution

The paper introduces a novel patient-level model utilizing ECG features and clinical data to predict seizure risk, enhancing triage accuracy in critical pediatric care.

Findings

ECG features like QRS area are highly predictive.

Model achieved AUROC of 0.84 with ECG alone.

Combining clinical data increased AUROC to 0.87.

Abstract

Objective: Epileptic seizures are relatively common in critically-ill children admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) and thus serve as an important target for identification and treatment. Most of these seizures have no discernible clinical manifestation but still have a significant impact on morbidity and mortality. Children that are deemed at risk for seizures within the PICU are monitored using continuous-electroencephalogram (cEEG). cEEG monitoring cost is considerable and as the number of available machines is always limited, clinicians need to resort to triaging patients according to perceived risk in order to allocate resources. This research aims to develop a computer aided tool to improve seizures risk assessment in critically-ill children, using an ubiquitously recorded signal in the PICU, namely the electrocardiogram (ECG). Approach: A novel data-driven model was developed at a patient-level approach, based on features extracted from the first hour of ECG recording and the clinical data of the patient. Main results: The most predictive features were the age of the patient, the brain injury as coma etiology and the QRS area. For patients without any prior clinical data, using one hour of ECG recording, the classification performance of the random forest classifier reached an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) score of 0.84. When combining ECG features with the patients clinical history, the AUROC reached 0.87. Significance: Taking a real clinical scenario, we estimated that our clinical decision support triage tool can improve the positive predictive value by more than 59% over the clinical standard.