Bootstrap Motion Forecasting With Self-Consistent Constraints
Maosheng Ye, Jiamiao Xu, Xunnong Xu, Tengfei Wang, Tongyi Cao, Qifeng, Chen

TL;DR
This paper introduces MISC, a novel motion forecasting framework that uses self-consistent constraints and a self-ensembling scheme to improve trajectory prediction accuracy by regularizing predictions under perturbations and leveraging multi-modal supervision.
Contribution
The paper proposes Dual Consistency Constraints and a self-ensembling scheme to enhance motion forecasting accuracy, outperforming state-of-the-art methods and improving existing approaches.
Findings
MISC significantly outperforms existing methods on Argoverse and Waymo datasets.
Explicit constraints from multiple teacher targets improve prediction performance.
The proposed strategies are general and enhance various existing motion forecasting models.
Abstract
We present a novel framework to bootstrap Motion forecasting with Self-consistent Constraints (MISC). The motion forecasting task aims at predicting future trajectories of vehicles by incorporating spatial and temporal information from the past. A key design of MISC is the proposed Dual Consistency Constraints that regularize the predicted trajectories under spatial and temporal perturbation during training. Also, to model the multi-modality in motion forecasting, we design a novel self-ensembling scheme to obtain accurate teacher targets to enforce the self-constraints with multi-modality supervision. With explicit constraints from multiple teacher targets, we observe a clear improvement in the prediction performance. Extensive experiments on the Argoverse motion forecasting benchmark and Waymo Open Motion dataset show that MISC significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods.…
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Taxonomy
TopicsAutonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety · Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques · Vehicle emissions and performance
