A misfired outburst in the neutron star X-ray binary Centaurus X-4
M. C. Baglio, P. Saikia, D. M. Russell, J. Homan, S. Waterval, D. M., Bramich, S. Campana, F. Lewis, J. Van den Eijnden, K. Alabarta, S. Covino, P., D'Avanzo, P. Goldoni, N. Masetti, T. Mu\~noz-Darias

TL;DR
This long-term optical monitoring of Centaurus X-4 revealed a pre-outburst flux rise and a stalled heating front in the accretion disc, providing insights into disc instability and outburst mechanisms in neutron star X-ray binaries.
Contribution
The study presents the first detailed long-term optical light curve of Centaurus X-4, identifying a pre-outburst flux increase and modeling the stalled propagation of an inside-out heating front.
Findings
Detected a ~3-year optical flux rise before the 2020 event.
Observed a stalled heating front likely caused by increasing surface density.
Found that irradiation plays a minor role in optical emission compared to other sources.
Abstract
We report on a long-term optical monitoring of the neutron star X-ray binary Centaurus X-4 performed during the last 13.5 years. This source has been in quiescence since its outburst in 1979. Our monitoring reveals the overall evolution of the accretion disc; we detect short-duration flares, likely originating also in the disc, superimposed with a small-amplitude (< 0.1 mag) ellipsoidal modulation from the companion star due to geometrical effects. A long-term (~2300 days) downward trend, followed by a shorter (~1000 days) upward one, is observed in the disc light curve. Such a rise in the optical has been observed for other X-ray binaries preceding outbursts, as predicted by the disc instability model. For Cen X-4, the rise of the optical flux proceeded for ~3 years, and culminated in a flux increase at all wavelengths (optical-UV-X-rays) at the end of 2020. This increase faded after…
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