Look-Ahead Acquisition Functions for Bernoulli Level Set Estimation
Benjamin Letham, Phillip Guan, Chase Tymms, Eytan Bakshy, Michael, Shvartsman

TL;DR
This paper introduces a new class of look-ahead acquisition functions for Bernoulli level set estimation using Gaussian process classification, enabling more effective active sampling in binary response scenarios.
Contribution
It derives analytic expressions for look-ahead posteriors and acquisition functions in Bernoulli LSE, extending continuous-output methods to binary data.
Findings
Look-ahead impact improves posterior estimation accuracy.
New acquisition functions outperform existing methods on benchmarks.
Effective in high-dimensional contrast sensitivity estimation.
Abstract
Level set estimation (LSE) is the problem of identifying regions where an unknown function takes values above or below a specified threshold. Active sampling strategies for efficient LSE have primarily been studied in continuous-valued functions. Motivated by applications in human psychophysics where common experimental designs produce binary responses, we study LSE active sampling with Bernoulli outcomes. With Gaussian process classification surrogate models, the look-ahead model posteriors used by state-of-the-art continuous-output methods are intractable. However, we derive analytic expressions for look-ahead posteriors of sublevel set membership, and show how these lead to analytic expressions for a class of look-ahead LSE acquisition functions, including information-based methods. Benchmark experiments show the importance of considering the global look-ahead impact on the entire…
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Taxonomy
TopicsControl Systems and Identification · Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Fault Detection and Control Systems
MethodsGaussian Process
