TL;DR
This paper introduces DALI, an extension of the Fisher Information Matrix, for more accurate and efficient gravitational-wave data analysis, improving parameter inference beyond Gaussian approximations.
Contribution
The paper develops and applies DALI, a higher-order likelihood expansion method, to extend the Fisher matrix in GW analysis, achieving better accuracy without significant computational cost.
Findings
DALI reduces the difference between Fisher approximation and real posterior by up to 5 times.
DALI's computational cost is comparable to Fisher matrix calculations.
DALI provides faster, more accurate inferences than full posterior sampling.
Abstract
The Fisher information matrix (FM) plays an important role in forecasts and inferences in many areas of physics. While giving fast parameter estimation with the Gaussian likelihood approximation in the parameter space, the FM can only give the ellipsoidal posterior contours of parameters and lose the higher-order information beyond Gaussianity. We extend the FM in gravitational-wave (GW) data analysis using the Derivative Approximation for LIkelihoods (DALI), a method to expand the likelihood while keeping it positive definite and normalizable at every order, for more accurate forecasts and inferences. When applied to the two real GW events, GW150914 and GW170817, DALI can reduce the difference between FM approximation and the real posterior by 5 times in the best case. The calculation time of DALI and FM is at the same order of magnitude, while obtaining the real full posterior will…
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