POT-flavored estimator of Pickands dependence function
Nan Zou

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel estimator combining Peak-Over-Threshold and Block-Maxima methods to improve the estimation of the Pickands dependence function in bivariate time series, reducing bias and mean squared error.
Contribution
It presents a new estimator that integrates two flavors of extreme value analysis to enhance accuracy in dependence function estimation.
Findings
Reduces asymptotic bias in estimation
Lowers overall mean squared error
Effective for bivariate time series
Abstract
This work proposes an estimator with both Peak-Over-Threshold and Block-Maxima flavors, uses it to estimate the Pickands dependence function of bivariate time series, and illustrates how it brings down the asymptotic bias and the overall mean squared error.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
