The Abduction of Sherlock Holmes: A Dataset for Visual Abductive Reasoning

TL;DR

This paper introduces Sherlock, a large dataset for testing machine abductive reasoning in images, and evaluates models' ability to infer beyond literal content, highlighting the gap between AI and human reasoning.

Contribution

The paper presents a novel, large-scale abductive reasoning dataset for images and benchmarks models' capabilities to perform inference, localization, and human-like judgment.

Findings

Fine-tuned CLIP-RN50x64 outperforms baselines

Models show significant gap compared to human performance

Dataset enables comprehensive evaluation of visual abductive reasoning

Abstract

Humans have remarkable capacity to reason abductively and hypothesize about what lies beyond the literal content of an image. By identifying concrete visual clues scattered throughout a scene, we almost can't help but draw probable inferences beyond the literal scene based on our everyday experience and knowledge about the world. For example, if we see a "20 mph" sign alongside a road, we might assume the street sits in a residential area (rather than on a highway), even if no houses are pictured. Can machines perform similar visual reasoning? We present Sherlock, an annotated corpus of 103K images for testing machine capacity for abductive reasoning beyond literal image contents. We adopt a free-viewing paradigm: participants first observe and identify salient clues within images (e.g., objects, actions) and then provide a plausible inference about the scene, given the clue. In total, we collect 363K (clue, inference) pairs, which form a first-of-its-kind abductive visual reasoning dataset. Using our corpus, we test three complementary axes of abductive reasoning. We evaluate the capacity of models to: i) retrieve relevant inferences from a large candidate corpus; ii) localize evidence for inferences via bounding boxes, and iii) compare plausible inferences to match human judgments on a newly-collected diagnostic corpus of 19K Likert-scale judgments. While we find that fine-tuning CLIP-RN50x64 with a multitask objective outperforms strong baselines, significant headroom exists between model performance and human agreement. Data, models, and leaderboard available at http://visualabduction.com/