A close look on 2-3 mixing angle with DUNE in light of current neutrino oscillation data

TL;DR

This paper evaluates DUNE's potential to precisely measure the neutrino mixing angle θ23, resolve its octant, and distinguish deviations from maximal mixing, considering current oscillation data and degeneracies.

Contribution

The study introduces a bi-events plot for the first time and analyzes DUNE's capabilities to resolve θ23's octant and non-maximality with spectral shape information and systematic considerations.

Findings

DUNE can determine non-maximal θ23 at 3σ in 7 years for certain parameter ranges.

DUNE can resolve θ23 octant at 5σ with 10 years of data under specific conditions.

Significant improvements in precision of θ23 and Δm²31 are achievable with DUNE.

Abstract

Recent global fit analyses of oscillation data show a preference for normal mass ordering (NMO) at 2.5$\sigma$ and provide 1.6$\sigma$ indications for lower $\theta_{23}$ octant and leptonic CP violation. A high-precision measurement of $\theta_{23}$ is pivotal to convert these hints into discoveries. In this work, we study in detail the capabilities of DUNE to establish the deviation from maximal $\theta_{23}$ and to resolve its octant at high confidence levels. We exhibit the possible correlations and degeneracies among $\sin^2\theta_{23}$, $\Delta m^2_{31}$, and $\delta_{CP}$ in disappearance and appearance oscillation channels at the probability and event levels. Introducing for the first time, a bi-events plot in the plane of total $\nu$ and $\bar\nu$ disappearance events, we discuss the impact of $\sin^2\theta_{23}$ - $\Delta m^2_{31}$ degeneracy in establishing non-maximal $\theta_{23}$ and show how this degeneracy can be resolved by exploiting the spectral shape information in $\nu$ and $\bar\nu$ disappearance events. A 3$\sigma$ (5$\sigma$) determination of non-maximal $\theta_{23}$ is possible in DUNE in total 7 years if $\sin^2\theta_{23} \lesssim 0.465~(0.450)$ or $\sin^2\theta_{23} \gtrsim 0.554~(0.572)$ for any value of $\delta_{CP}$ and NMO. We study the individual contributions from appearance and disappearance channels, impact of systematic uncertainties and marginalization over oscillation parameters, importance of spectral analysis and data from both $\nu$ and $\bar\nu$ runs, while analyzing DUNE's sensitivity to establish non-maximal $\theta_{23}$. DUNE can resolve the octant of $\theta_{23}$ at 4.2$\sigma$ (5$\sigma$) using 7 (10) years of run assuming $\sin^2\theta_{23}$ = 0.455, $\delta_{CP}$ = $223^\circ$, and NMO. DUNE can improve the current relative 1$\sigma$ precision on $\sin^2\theta_{23}$ ($\Delta m^2_{31}$) by a factor of 4.4 (2.8) using 7 years of run.