APOPHIS -- Effects of the 2029 Earth's Encounter on the Surface and Nearby Dynamics

TL;DR

This study analyzes the effects of Apophis's 2029 Earth encounter on its surface and nearby particle dynamics, revealing surface slope variations, equilibrium points, and particle survival rates under different conditions.

Contribution

It provides a detailed analysis of Apophis's surface and nearby environment changes during the 2029 encounter, including gravitational and perturbation effects, which are novel insights.

Findings

Surface slope variation up to 4 degrees during close approach

Identification of four external equilibrium points, two of which are stable

Particle survival depends on size and density, with some surviving decades after the encounter

Abstract

The 99942 Apophis close encounter with Earth in 2029 may provide information about asteroid's physical characteristics and measurements of Earth's effects on the asteroid surface. In this work, we analysed the surface and the nearby dynamics of Apophis. The possible effects of its 2029 encounter on the surface and environment vicinity are also analysed. We consider a 340 metres polyhedron with a uniform density (1.29 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$, 2.2 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$ and 3.5 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$). The slope angles are computed, as well their variation that arises during the close approach. Such variation reaches 4$^{\circ}$ when low densities are used in our simulations and reaches 2$^{\circ}$ when the density is high. The zero-velocity curves, the equilibrium points, and their topological classification are obtained. We found four external equilibrium points and two of them are linearly stable. We also perform numerical simulations of bodies orbiting the asteroid, taking into account the irregular gravitational field of Apophis and two extra scenarios of perturbations: the solar radiation pressure and the Earth's perturbation during the close approach. The radiation pressure plays an important role in the vicinity of the asteroid, only cm-sized particles survived for the time of integration. For densities of 2.2 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$ and 3.5 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$, a region of 5 cm radius particles survived for 30 years of the simulation, and for 1.29 g$\cdot$cm$^{-3}$, only particles with 15 cm of radius survived. The ejections and collisions are about 30-50 times larger when the close encounter effect is added, but around 56-59% of particles still survive the encounter.