Towards the use of conservative thermodynamic variables in data assimilation: a case study using ground-based microwave radiometer measurements

TL;DR

This paper explores the integration of conservative thermodynamic variables into a 1D-Var data assimilation system using ground-based microwave radiometer data, aiming to improve fog forecasting and reduce weather-dependent biases.

Contribution

It introduces and evaluates the use of moist-air entropy potential temperature and total water content in data assimilation, demonstrating their benefits over classical variables.

Findings

Conservative variables reduce dependency on weather conditions in background error covariance matrices.

Assimilated brightness temperatures are closer to observations with both variable choices.

Analysis increments differ significantly between conservative and classical variables.

Abstract

This study aims at introducing two conservative thermodynamic variables (moist-air entropy potential temperature and total water content) into a one-dimensional variational data assimilation system (1D-Var) to demonstrate the benefit for future operational assimilation schemes. This system is assessed using microwave brightness temperatures from a ground-based radiometer installed during the field campaign SOFOG3D dedicated to fog forecast improvement. An underlying objective is to ease the specification of background error covariance matrices that are highly dependent on weather conditions when using classical variables, making difficult the optimal retrievals of cloud and thermodynamic properties during fog conditions. Background error covariance matrices for these new conservative variables have thus been computed by an ensemble approach based on the French convective scale model AROME, for both all-weather and fog conditions. A first result shows that the use of these matrices for the new variables reduces some dependencies to the meteorological conditions (diurnal cycle, presence or not of clouds) compared to usual variables (temperature, specific humidity). Then, two 1D-Var experiments (classical vs. conservative variables) are evaluated over a full diurnal cycle characterized by a stratus-evolving radiative fog situation, using hourly brightness temperatures. Results show, as expected, that analysed brightness temperatures by the 1D-Var are much closer to the observed ones than background values for both variable choices. This is especially the case for channels sensitive to water vapour and liquid water. On the other hand, analysis increments in model space (water vapour, liquid water) show significant differences between the two sets of variables.