Data Driven based Dynamic Correction Prediction Model for NOx Emission of Coal Fired Boiler

TL;DR

This paper presents a dynamic correction prediction model for NOx emissions in coal-fired boilers, utilizing delay time analysis, feature selection, and error correction to improve real-time prediction accuracy.

Contribution

It introduces a novel combination of MIC, adaptive feature selection, and ELM with error correction for accurate NOx emission prediction considering combustion delay effects.

Findings

Prediction error under different conditions is less than 2%.

Dynamic correction improves model accuracy significantly.

Model effectively predicts NOx concentrations for emission control.

Abstract

The real-time prediction of NOx emissions is of great significance for pollutant emission control and unit operation of coal-fired power plants. Aiming at dealing with the large time delay and strong nonlinear characteristics of the combustion process, a dynamic correction prediction model considering the time delay is proposed. First, the maximum information coefficient (MIC) is used to calculate the delay time between related parameters and NOx emissions, and the modeling data set is reconstructed; then, an adaptive feature selection algorithm based on Lasso and ReliefF is constructed to filter out the high correlation with NOx emissions. Parameters; Finally, an extreme learning machine (ELM) model combined with error correction was established to achieve the purpose of dynamically predicting the concentration of nitrogen oxides. Experimental results based on actual data show that the same variable has different delay times under load conditions such as rising, falling, and steady; and there are differences in model characteristic variables under different load conditions; dynamic error correction strategies effectively improve modeling accuracy; proposed The prediction error of the algorithm under different working conditions is less than 2%, which can accurately predict the NOx concentration at the combustion outlet, and provide guidance for NOx emission monitoring and combustion process optimization.