Large Deviations Of Sums Mainly Due To Just One Summand
Iosif Pinelis

TL;DR
This paper formalizes the idea that for i.i.d. heavy-tailed variables with tail index between 0 and 2, large deviations in their sum are mainly caused by a single large summand.
Contribution
It provides a rigorous formalization of the principle that large deviations in sums of heavy-tailed variables are dominated by one large term.
Findings
Large deviations are primarily due to a single summand in heavy-tailed cases.
The formalization applies to i.i.d. variables with power-like tails of index (0,2).
The results clarify the behavior of sums under heavy-tailed distributions.
Abstract
We present a formalization of the well-known thesis that, in the case of independent identically distributed random variables with power-like tails of index , large deviations of the sum are primarily due to just one of the summands.
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Taxonomy
TopicsComputability, Logic, AI Algorithms · Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection · Probability and Risk Models
