On the Relation of the Lunar Recession and the Length-of-the-Day
Andre Maeder, Vesselin G. Gueorguiev

TL;DR
This paper examines the consistency between lunar recession rates and the increase in Earth's length-of-the-day, highlighting discrepancies and discussing potential geophysical and cosmological implications.
Contribution
It provides a comprehensive review of observational data on lunar recession and Earth's rotation, analyzing their relationship and discussing possible explanations for discrepancies.
Findings
Observed LOD variation rate is 1.09 ms/cy from 1680 to 2020.
Lunar recession appears too large compared to Earth's tidal slowing.
Discrepancies may relate to geophysical effects or cosmological factors.
Abstract
We review the problem of the consistency between the observed values of the lunar recession from Lunar Laser Ranging (LLR) and of the increase of the length-of-the-day (LOD). From observations of lunar occultations completed by recent IERS data, we derive a variation rate of the LOD equal to 1.09 ms/cy from 1680 to 2020, which compares well with McCarthy and Babcock (1986) and Sidorenkov (2005). This rate is lower than the mean rate of 1.78 ms/cy derived by Stephenson et al. (2016) on the basis of eclipses in the Antiquity and Middle Age. The difference in the two observed rates starts at the epoch of a major change in the data accuracy with telescopic observations. The observed lunar recession appears too large when compared to the tidal slowing down of the Earth determined from eclipses in the Antiquity and Middle Age and even much more when determined from lunar occultations and IERS…
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