Strong Approximations and Irrationality in Financial Networks with Financial Derivatives

TL;DR

This paper investigates the computational complexity and structural properties of financial networks with derivatives, focusing on the irrationality and approximation of solutions to the clearing problem, revealing new complexity classifications.

Contribution

It establishes FIXP-completeness for strongly approximate solutions and identifies structural conditions leading to irrational solutions in financial networks.

Findings

Weakly approximate solutions may misrepresent financial states.

Strong approximation is FIXP-complete.

Certain cycles in networks induce irrational recovery rates.

Abstract

Financial networks model a set of financial institutions (firms) interconnected by obligations. Recent work has introduced to this model a class of obligations called credit default swaps, a certain kind of financial derivatives. The main computational challenge for such systems is known as the clearing problem, which is to determine which firms are in default and to compute their exposure to systemic risk, technically known as their recovery rates. It is known that the recovery rates form the set of fixed points of a simple function, and that these fixed points can be irrational. Furthermore, Schuldenzucker et al. (2016) have shown that finding a weakly (or "almost") approximate (rational) fixed point is PPAD-complete. We further study the clearing problem from the point of view of irrationality and approximation strength. Firstly, we observe that weakly approximate solutions may misrepresent the actual financial state of an institution. On this basis, we study the complexity of finding a strongly (or "near") approximate solution, and show FIXP-completeness. We then study the structural properties required for irrationality, and we give necessary conditions for irrational solutions to emerge: The presence of certain types of cycles in a financial network forces the recovery rates to take the form of roots of non-linear polynomials. In the absence of a large subclass of such cycles, we study the complexity of finding an exact fixed point, which we show to be a problem close to, albeit outside of, PPAD.