Unihedge -- A decentralized market prediction platform
Marko Corn, Nejc Ro\v{z}man

TL;DR
Unihedge introduces a decentralized prediction market platform utilizing Harberger Tax policies, enabling unlimited liquidity and improved incentives for early information, implemented on EVM with DEX for price discovery.
Contribution
The paper presents a novel HTAX prediction market model derived from DPM, with new incentive mechanisms and platform implementation on Ethereum.
Findings
Unlimited liquidity for various time horizons.
Effective incentive mechanisms for early information.
Successful implementation on Ethereum with DEX integration.
Abstract
Unihedge is a decentralized platform for prediction markets with a novel approach. Using Harberger Tax (HTAX) economic policies a new type of prediction market, named HTAX prediction market, was build. HTAX prediction market derivates from Dynamic PariMutuel (DPM) type of prediction markets thus offering its users an unlimited liquidity for any preferred time horizon. It tries to solve some problems of DPM by introducing a new incentive mechanism to support early information incorporation and a protection against share readjustment for hedgers. In the paper also implementation of platform on Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) is presented with the usage of Decentralized Exchange (DEX) as an price discovery mechanism for prediction market resolutions.
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Taxonomy
TopicsSports Analytics and Performance · Gambling Behavior and Treatments · Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
