Evaluating Multiple Guesses by an Adversary via a Tunable Loss Function
Gowtham R. Kurri, Oliver Kosut, Lalitha Sankar

TL;DR
This paper analyzes an adversary's guessing strategy using a tunable loss function, characterizes optimal strategies, and introduces an information leakage measure in a multiple guesses setting.
Contribution
It provides a complete characterization of optimal adversarial strategies under $ ext{alpha}$-loss and introduces a new information leakage measure for multiple guesses.
Findings
Optimal strategies are characterized for all $ ext{alpha}$ values.
The paper recovers known results for $ ext{alpha}=\infty$.
Conditions are derived where leakage remains unchanged with multiple guesses.
Abstract
We consider a problem of guessing, wherein an adversary is interested in knowing the value of the realization of a discrete random variable on observing another correlated random variable . The adversary can make multiple (say, ) guesses. The adversary's guessing strategy is assumed to minimize -loss, a class of tunable loss functions parameterized by . It has been shown before that this loss function captures well known loss functions including the exponential loss (), the log-loss () and the - loss (). We completely characterize the optimal adversarial strategy and the resulting expected -loss, thereby recovering known results for . We define an information leakage measure from the -guesses setup and derive a condition under which the leakage is unchanged from a single guess.
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