Combined analyses of the antiproton production from cosmic-ray interactions and its possible dark matter origin

TL;DR

This study uses combined cosmic-ray data analysis to assess whether the observed antiproton excess can be explained by secondary production uncertainties or if it indicates dark matter, finding the excess likely due to cross section scaling.

Contribution

It provides a comprehensive MCMC analysis incorporating cross section uncertainties, constrains propagation parameters, and evaluates the dark matter hypothesis for antiproton excess.

Findings

The antiproton-to-proton ratio is consistent with secondary origin.

A ~10% cross section scaling explains the excess better than dark matter.

Best-fit dark matter mass (~300 GeV) is incompatible with other constraints.

Abstract

Recent cosmic-ray (CR) studies have claimed the possibility of an excess on the antiproton flux over the predicted models at around $10$ GeV, which can be the signature of dark matter annihilating into hadronic final states that subsequently form antiprotons. However, this excess is subject to many uncertainties related to the evaluation of the antiproton spectrum produced from spallation interactions of CRs. In this work, we implement a combined Markov-Chain Monte Carlo analysis of the secondary ratios of B, Be and Li and the antiproton-to-proton ratio ($\bar{p}/p$), while also including nuisance parameters to consider the uncertainties related to the spallation cross sections. This study allows us to constrain the Galactic halo height and the rest of propagation parameters, evaluate the impact of cross sections uncertainties in the determination of the antiproton spectrum and test the origin of the excess of antiprotons. In this way, we provide a set of propagation parameters and scale factors for renormalizing the cross sections parametrizations that allow us to reproduce all the ratios of B, Be, Li and $\bar{p}$ simultaneously. We show that the energy dependence of the $\bar{p}/p$ ratio is compatible with a pure secondary origin. We find that the energy dependence of the evaluated $\bar{p}/p$ spectrum matches the AMS-02 data at energies above $\sim3$GeV, although there is still a nearly constant $\sim10\%$ excess of $\bar{p}$ over our prediction. We discuss that this discrepancy is more likely explained from a $\sim10\%$ scaling in the cross sections of antiproton production, rather than a component of dark matter leading to antiprotons. In particular, we find that the best-fit WIMP mass ($\sim 300$ GeV) needed to explain the discrepancy lies above the constraints from most indirect searches of dark matter and the resultant fit is poorer than with a cross sections scaling.