On Choice of Hyper-parameter in Extreme Value Theory based on Machine Learning Techniques
Chikara Nakamura

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel method for selecting hyper-parameters in extreme value theory by leveraging machine learning techniques, demonstrating its effectiveness on real-world data.
Contribution
It proposes a new hyper-parameter selection method for EVT that integrates machine learning, filling a gap in practical application of EVT.
Findings
The method shows improved hyper-parameter tuning in EVT.
Experimental results on real data validate the approach.
The approach enhances EVT's usability in real-world scenarios.
Abstract
Extreme value theory (EVT) is a statistical tool for analysis of extreme events. It has a strong theoretical background, however, we need to choose hyper-parameters to apply EVT. In recent studies of machine learning, techniques of choosing hyper-parameters have been well-studied. In this paper, we propose a new method of choosing hyper-parameters in EVT based on machine learning techniques. We also experiment our method to real-world data and show good usability of our method.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
