New Giant Planet beyond the Snow Line for an Extended MOA Exoplanet Microlens Sample

TL;DR

This paper reports the discovery of a giant planet beyond the snow line through microlensing, using Bayesian analysis to estimate its properties despite weak constraints, contributing to understanding planet occurrence rates.

Contribution

It introduces a systematic Bayesian approach to characterize weak microlensing signals and adds a new planet to the statistical sample for cold planet demography.

Findings

Detected a 1.9 Jupiter-mass planet orbiting a low-mass star.

Most likely located in the Galactic bulge at 7.2 kpc.

Provides data for future statistical analysis of cold planets.

Abstract

Characterizing a planet detected by microlensing is hard if the planetary signal is weak or the lens-source relative trajectory is far from caustics. However, statistical analyses of planet demography must include those planets to accurately determine occurrence rates. As part of a systematic modeling effort in the context of a $>10$-year retrospective analysis of MOA's survey observations to build an extended MOA statistical sample, we analyze the light curve of the planetary microlensing event MOA-2014-BLG-472. This event provides weak constraints on the physical parameters of the lens, as a result of a planetary anomaly occurring at low magnification in the light curve. We use a Bayesian analysis to estimate the properties of the planet, based on a refined Galactic model and the assumption that all Milky Way's stars have an equal planet-hosting probability. We find that a lens consisting of a $1.9^{+2.2}_{-1.2}\,\mathrm{M}_\mathrm{J}$ giant planet orbiting a $0.31^{+0.36}_{-0.19}\,\mathrm{M}_\odot$ host at a projected separation of $0.75\pm0.24\,\mathrm{au}$ is consistent with the observations and is most likely, based on the Galactic priors. The lens most probably lies in the Galactic bulge, at $7.2^{+0.6}_{-1.7}\mathrm{kpc}$ from Earth. The accurate measurement of the measured planet-to-host star mass ratio will be included in the next statistical analysis of cold planet demography detected by microlensing.