Hourly Warning for Strong Earthquakes
T.Chen, L.Li, X.-X.Zhang, C.Wang, X.-B.Jin, Q.-M.Ma, J.-Y.Xu, Z.-H.He,, H.Li, S.-G.Xiao, X.-Z.Wang, X.-H.Shen, X.-M.Zhang, H.-B.Li, Z.-M.Zeren,, J.-P.Huang, F.-Q.Huang, S.Che, Z.-M.Zou, P.Xiong, J.Liu, L.-Q.Zhang, Q.Guo,, I.Roth, V.S.Makhmutov, Yong Liu, Z.-H.Huang, J.Luo

TL;DR
This paper explores the potential for hourly earthquake warnings by analyzing atmospheric electrostatic signals, suggesting a method to predict epicenters and magnitudes of strong land earthquakes based on weather and electrostatic anomalies.
Contribution
It introduces a novel approach linking atmospheric electrostatic signals and weather conditions to earthquake precursors, proposing a method for early warning of strong land earthquakes.
Findings
Abnormal negative electrostatic signals occur hours to a day before strong EQs.
Weather conditions near epicenters are typically fair during precursors.
A mechanism explaining electrostatic signals as earthquake precursors is provided.
Abstract
A promising perspective is presented that humans can provide hourly warning for strong land earthquakes (EQs, Ms6). Two important atmospheric electrostatic signal features are described. A table that lists 9 strong land EQs with shock time, epicenter, magnitude, weather in the region near the epicenter, precursor beginning time, and precursor duration demonstrates that at approximately several hours to one day before a strong land EQ, the weather conditions are fair near the epicenter, and an abnormal negative atmospheric electrostatic signal is very obvious. Moreover, the mechanism is explained. A method by which someone could determine the epicenter and the magnitude of a forthcoming strong EQ is suggested. Finally, the possibility of realizing hourly warning for strong land EQs in the near future is pointed out.
Peer Reviews
No public reviews on file for this paper yet. If you reviewed it on a platform where reviews are public (OpenReview, ICLR, NeurIPS, ICML), you can paste yours below so the community can read it here.
Videos
No videos yet. Explain this paper in a talk, walkthrough, or lecture? Add one.
Taxonomy
TopicsEarthquake Detection and Analysis · Seismology and Earthquake Studies
