Signs of Higher Multipoles and Orbital Precession in GW151226

TL;DR

This paper reanalyzes GW151226 using advanced waveform models including higher multipoles and orbital precession, revealing new source parameter estimates and implications for black hole populations, though detection of these effects remains uncertain.

Contribution

It introduces a parameter estimation approach that incorporates higher multipoles and precession effects, refining the source parameters of GW151226 and impacting astrophysical interpretations.

Findings

Better measurement of mass ratio $q$ and effective spin $ff$

Secondary black hole mass near the lower mass gap

Primary black hole spin is large and tilted at 57 degrees

Abstract

We present a reanalysis of GW151226, the second binary black hole merger discovered by the LIGO--Virgo Collaboration. Previous analysis showed that the best-fit waveform for this event corresponded to the merger of a $\sim 14 \, M_\odot$ black hole with a $\sim 7.5 \, M_\odot$ companion, and the posterior distribution in mass ratio ($q \leq 1$) is rather flat. In this work, we perform parameter estimation using a waveform model that includes the effects of orbital precession and higher-order radiative multipole modes, and we find that the source parameters of GW151226 shift towards the low $q$ and high effective spin ($\chi_{\rm eff}$) region and that $q$ is better measured. The new solution has a log likelihood roughly two points higher than when either higher multipoles or orbital precession is neglected and can alter the astrophysical interpretation of GW151226. Additionally, we find it useful to use a flat-in-$\chi{\rm eff}$ prior, which does not penalize the large $|\chi_{\rm eff}|$ region, in order to uncover the higher likelihood region for GW151226. Our solution has several interesting properties: (a) the secondary black hole mass is close to the upper limit of the hypothesized lower mass gap of astrophysical black hole population; and (b) orbital precession is driven by the primary black hole spin, which has a dimensionless magnitude as large as $\sim 0.85$ and is tilted away from the orbital angular momentum at an angle of $\sim 57^\circ$. Since GW151226 is a relatively weak signal, an unambiguous claim of the detection of these effects in the signal cannot be made.