The distribution of HI velocity profiles in a $\Lambda$CDM universe

TL;DR

This paper models the distribution of HI velocity profiles in galaxies within a Lambda-CDM universe, comparing predictions with observations, and explores how profile shapes can probe baryon-dark matter interactions.

Contribution

It introduces a theoretical model for HI velocity profiles based on realistic baryon-influenced halo rotation curves, linking profile shapes to galaxy properties and dark matter physics.

Findings

Good agreement with ALFALFA data for high velocity widths

Profile shape correlates with galaxy inclination and halo concentration

Excess kurtosis of profiles relates to turbulent HI disk properties

Abstract

We model the distribution of the observed profiles of 21 cm line emission from neutral hydrogen (HI) in central galaxies selected from a statistically representative mock catalog of the local Universe in the Lambda-cold dark matter framework. The distribution of these HI velocity profiles (specifically, their widths $W_{50}$) has been observationally constrained, but has not been systematically studied theoretically. Our model profiles derive from rotation curves of realistically baryonified haloes in an N-body simulation, including the quasi-adiabatic relaxation of the dark matter profile of each halo in response to its baryons. We study the predicted $W_{50}$ distribution using a realistic pipeline applied to noisy profiles extracted from our luminosity-complete mock catalog with an ALFALFA-like survey geometry and redshift selection. Our default mock is in good agreement with observed ALFALFA results for $W_{50}\gtrsim700$ km/s, being incomplete at lower widths due to the intrinsic threshold of $M_r\leq-19$. Variations around the default model show that the velocity width function at $W_{50}\gtrsim300$ km/s is most sensitive to a possible correlation between galaxy inclination and host concentration, followed by the physics of quasi-adiabatic relaxation. We also study the excess kurtosis of noiseless velocity profiles, obtaining a distribution which tightly correlates with $W_{50}$, with a shape and scatter that depend on the properties of the turbulent HI disk. Our results open the door towards using the shapes of HI velocity profiles as a novel statistical probe of the baryon-dark matter connection.