Systematic search for long-term transit duration changes in Kepler transiting planets
Sahar Shahaf, Tsevi Mazeh, Shay Zucker, and Daniel Fabrycky

TL;DR
This study systematically analyzes long-term transit duration changes in Kepler planets, revealing that most are caused by orbital precession due to planetary interactions, with implications for planetary system formation.
Contribution
It is the first comprehensive analysis linking transit duration changes to orbital precession caused by planetary perturbers in Kepler data.
Findings
15 KOIs show significant long-term duration changes
Duration change rates increase with orbital period
Short-period systems tend to have flatter, more dissipated configurations
Abstract
Holczer, Mazeh, and collaborators (HM+16) used the Kepler four-year observations to derive a transit-timing catalog, identifying 260 Kepler objects of interest (KOI) with significant transit timing variations (TTV). For KOIs with high enough SNRs, HM+16 also derived the duration and depth of their transits. In the present work, we use the duration measurements of HM+16 to systematically study the duration changes of 561 KOIs and identify 15 KOIs with a significant long-term linear change of transit durations and another 16 KOIs with an intermediate significance. We show that the observed linear trend is probably caused by a precession of the orbital plane of the transiting planet, induced in most cases by another planet. The leading term of the precession rate depends on the mass and relative inclination of the perturber, and the period ratio between the two orbits, but not on the mass…
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