The Ruble Collapse in an Online Marketplace: Some Lessons for Market Designers

TL;DR

The paper examines how the 2014 ruble devaluation affected Russian participation and pricing in an online labor marketplace, revealing high supply elasticity but limited wage pass-through and externalities, informing market design strategies.

Contribution

It provides empirical insights into the effects of currency shocks on online labor markets, highlighting supply responsiveness and the limited impact on wages and demand.

Findings

High extensive margin elasticity among Russian workers

Limited pass-through of currency changes into wages

No significant demand-side externalities observed

Abstract

The sharp devaluation of the ruble in 2014 increased the real returns to Russians from working in a global online labor marketplace, as con- tracts in this market are dollar-denominated. Russians clearly noticed the opportunity, with Russian hours-worked increasing substantially, primarily on the extensive margin -- incumbent Russians already active were fairly inelastic. Contrary to the predictions of bargaining models, there was little to no pass-through of the ruble price changes in to wages. There was also no evidence of a demand-side response, with buyers not posting more "Russian friendly" jobs, suggesting limited cross-side externalities. The key findings -- a high extensive margin elasticity but low intensive margin elasticity; little pass-through into wages; and little evidence of a cross-side externality -- have implications for market designers with respect to pricing and supply acquisition.