Reduced variance analysis of molecular dynamics simulations by linear combination of estimators
Samuel W. Coles, Etienne Mangaud, Daan Frenkel, Benjamin Rotenberg

TL;DR
This paper introduces an optimal linear combination method of force-based estimators to reduce variance in molecular dynamics simulations, improving accuracy and addressing artifacts with minimal additional cost.
Contribution
It demonstrates the application of control variates in molecular simulations to further reduce estimator variance and correct artifacts, a less-explored approach in the field.
Findings
Variance reduction across all distances and positions
Elimination of non-physical estimator artifacts
Minimal additional computational cost
Abstract
Building upon recent developments of force-based estimators with a reduced variance for the computation of densities, radial distribution functions or local transport properties from molecular simulations, we show that the variance can be further reduced by considering optimal linear combinations of such estimators. This control variates approach, well known in Statistics and already used in other branches of computational Physics, has been comparatively much less exploited in molecular simulations. We illustrate this idea on the radial distribution function and the one-dimensional density of a bulk and confined Lennard-Jones fluid, where the optimal combination of estimators is determined for each distance or position, respectively. In addition to reducing the variance everywhere at virtually no additional cost, this approach cures an artefact of the initial force-based estimators,…
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