Efficient Error Prediction for Differentially Private Algorithms
Boel Nelson

TL;DR
This paper introduces a data-aware error prediction method for differential privacy algorithms using factor experiments and simulation, aiming to better understand and balance privacy and accuracy.
Contribution
It presents a novel methodology employing factor experiments and simulation to create data-aware error prediction models for differential privacy applications.
Findings
Successful construction of a simulation tool for poll data
Development of a least squares model for error prediction
Validation of the error prediction model
Abstract
Differential privacy is a strong mathematical notion of privacy. Still, a prominent challenge when using differential privacy in real data collection is understanding and counteracting the accuracy loss that differential privacy imposes. As such, the accuracy/privacy trade-off of differential privacy needs to be balanced on a case-by-case basis. Applications in the literature tend to focus solely on analytical accuracy bounds, not include data in error prediction, or use arbitrary settings to measure error empirically. To fill the gap in the literature, we propose a novel application of factor experiments to create data aware error predictions. Basically, factor experiments provide a systematic approach to conducting empirical experiments. To demonstrate our methodology in action, we conduct a case study where error is dependent on arbitrarily complex tree structures. We first…
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