Forecasts on Interacting Dark Energy from 21-cm Angular Power Spectrum with BINGO and SKA observations

TL;DR

This paper investigates how upcoming 21-cm intensity mapping surveys like BINGO and SKA can constrain interacting dark energy models, revealing their potential to improve late-Universe parameter estimates beyond current CMB constraints.

Contribution

It derives new 21-cm brightness temperature fluctuations for interacting dark energy and forecasts the constraining power of future HI surveys using Fisher matrix analysis.

Findings

SKA1-MID Band1 outperforms Planck 2018 in late-Universe parameters

Surveys can constrain dark energy equation of state and interaction strength

Systematics like redshift distortions and foreground residuals are quantified

Abstract

Neutral hydrogen (HI) intensity mapping is a promising technique to probe the large-scale structure of the Universe, improving our understanding on the late-time accelerated expansion. In this work, we first scrutinize how an alternative cosmology, interacting dark energy (IDE), can affect the 21-cm angular power spectrum relative to the concordance $\Lambda$CDM model. We re-derive the 21-cm brightness temperature fluctuation in the context of such interaction and uncover an extra new contribution. Then we estimate the noise level of three upcoming HI intensity mapping surveys, BINGO, SKA1-MID Band$\,$1 and Band$\,$2, respectively, and employ a Fisher matrix approach to forecast their constraints on the IDE model. We find that while $\textit{Planck}\,$ 2018 maintains its dominion over early-Universe parameter constraints, BINGO and SKA1-MID Band$\,$2 put complementary bounding to the latest CMB measurements on dark energy equation of state $w$, the interacting strength $\lambda_i$ and the reduced Hubble constant $h$, and SKA1-MID Band$\,$1 even outperforms $\textit{Planck}\,$ 2018 in these late-Universe parameter constraints. The expected minimum uncertainties are given by SKA1-MID Band$\,$1+$\textit{Planck}\,$: $\sim 0.34\%$ on $w$, $\sim 0.22\%$ on $h$, $\sim 0.64\%$ on HI bias $b_{\rm HI}$, and an absolute uncertainty of about $3\times10^{-4}$ ($7\times10^{-4}$) on $\lambda_{1}$ ($\lambda_{2}$). Moreover, we quantify the effects from systematics of the redshift bin number, redshift-space distortions, foreground residuals and uncertainties on the measured HI fraction, $\Omega_{\mathrm{HI}}(z)$. Our results indicate a bright prospect for HI intensity mapping surveys in constraining IDE, whether on their own or further by synergies with other measurements.