Nonlinear Invariant Risk Minimization: A Causal Approach

TL;DR

This paper introduces iCaRL, a novel nonlinear invariant risk minimization method that leverages causal representation learning to improve out-of-distribution generalization in machine learning models.

Contribution

It proposes a new approach for nonlinear invariant risk minimization based on causal assumptions, enabling identification of causal factors and OOD generalization beyond linear models.

Findings

Outperforms baseline methods on synthetic and real datasets

Identifies all direct causes of the target in nonlinear settings

Provides theoretical guarantees for causal representation recovery

Abstract

Due to spurious correlations, machine learning systems often fail to generalize to environments whose distributions differ from the ones used at training time. Prior work addressing this, either explicitly or implicitly, attempted to find a data representation that has an invariant relationship with the target. This is done by leveraging a diverse set of training environments to reduce the effect of spurious features and build an invariant predictor. However, these methods have generalization guarantees only when both data representation and classifiers come from a linear model class. We propose invariant Causal Representation Learning (iCaRL), an approach that enables out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in the nonlinear setting (i.e., nonlinear representations and nonlinear classifiers). It builds upon a practical and general assumption: the prior over the data representation (i.e., a set of latent variables encoding the data) given the target and the environment belongs to general exponential family distributions. Based on this, we show that it is possible to identify the data representation up to simple transformations. We also prove that all direct causes of the target can be fully discovered, which further enables us to obtain generalization guarantees in the nonlinear setting. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that our approach outperforms a variety of baseline methods. Finally, in the discussion, we further explore the aforementioned assumption and propose a more general hypothesis, called the Agnostic Hypothesis: there exist a set of hidden causal factors affecting both inputs and outcomes. The Agnostic Hypothesis can provide a unifying view of machine learning. More importantly, it can inspire a new direction to explore a general theory for identifying hidden causal factors, which is key to enabling the OOD generalization guarantees.