Decaying Orbit of the Hot Jupiter WASP-12b: Confirmation with TESS Observations
Jake D. Turner, Andrew Ridden-Harper, and Ray Jayawardhana

TL;DR
This study confirms that the hot Jupiter WASP-12b's orbit is decaying, using TESS data, with a decay rate consistent with tidal dissipation theories, and highlights the effectiveness of space-based photometry in studying orbital evolution.
Contribution
First confirmation of WASP-12b's orbital decay using TESS data, providing updated decay rate and tidal quality factor estimates.
Findings
WASP-12b's orbit is decaying at approximately 32.53 msec/year.
The orbital decay timescale is about 2.90 million years.
The tidal quality factor Q'$_{ ext{star}}$ is estimated at 1.39×10^5.
Abstract
Theory suggests that the orbits of some close-in giant planets should decay due to tidal interactions with their host stars. To date, WASP-12b is the only hot Jupiter reported to have a decaying orbit, at a rate of 292 msec year. We analyzed data from NASA's Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) to verify that WASP-12b's orbit is indeed changing. We find that the TESS transit and occultation data are consistent with a decaying orbit with an updated period of 1.0914200900.000000041 days and a decay rate of 32.531.62 msec year. We find an orbital decay timescale of = P/ = 2.900.14 Myr. If the observed decay results from tidal dissipation, the modified tidal quality factor is Q' = 1.390.15 , which falls at the lower end of values derived for binary star systems and hot Jupiters. Our result highlights…
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