A note on some critical thresholds of Bernoulli percolation
Pengfei Tang

TL;DR
This paper investigates critical thresholds in Bernoulli percolation, confirming a modified conjecture by Kahn and connecting it to recent mathematical lemmas, with applications to periodic trees.
Contribution
It provides a positive answer to Kahn's modified question on percolation thresholds and links the expectation-based bounds to differential inequalities, advancing understanding of percolation phase transitions.
Findings
Confirmed Kahn's modified conjecture on percolation thresholds.
Linked expectation quantities to differential inequalities of one-arm events.
Applied results to Bernoulli percolation on periodic trees.
Abstract
Consider Bernoulli bond percolation on a locally finite, connected graph and let be the threshold corresponding to a "first-moment method" lower bound. Kahn (\textit{Electron.\ Comm.\ Probab.\ Volume 8, 184-187.} (2003)) constructed a counter-example to Lyons' conjecture of and proposed a modification. Here we give a positive answer to Kahn's modified question. The key observation is that in Kahn's modification, the new expectation quantity also appears in the differential inequality of one-arm events. This links the question to a lemma of Duminil-Copin and Tassion (\textit{Comm. Math. Phys. Volume 343, 725-745.} (2016)). We also study some applications for Bernoulli percolation on periodic trees.
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