Use Bagging Algorithm to Improve Prediction Accuracy for Evaluation of Worker Performances at a Production Company

TL;DR

This study applies bagging ensemble methods with decision trees to accurately predict worker evaluations in a textile company, aiding management decisions with high accuracy and identifying key influencing variables.

Contribution

It introduces an ensemble approach using bagging with decision trees for worker evaluation prediction, achieving high accuracy and effective variable selection.

Findings

Prediction accuracy reached 99.16%.

Strong relationship between selected variables and evaluation.

Ensemble method outperformed individual algorithms.

Abstract

Many workers at the production department of Libyan Textile Company work with different performances. Plan of company management is paying the money according to the specific performance and quality requirements for each worker. Thus, it is important to predict the accurate evaluation of workers to extract the knowledge for management, how much money it will pay as salary and incentive. For example, if the evaluation is average, then management of the company will pay part of the salary. If the evaluation is good, then it will pay full salary, moreover, if the evaluation is excellent, then it will pay salary plus incentive percentage. Twelve variables with 121 instances for each variable collected to predict the evaluation of the process for each worker. Before starting classification, feature selection used to predict the influential variables which impact the evaluation process. Then, four algorithms of decision trees used to predict the output and extract the influential relationship between inputs and output. To make sure get the highest accuracy, ensemble algorithm (Bagging) used to deploy four algorithms of decision trees and predict the highest prediction result 99.16%. Standard errors for four algorithms were very small; this means that there is a strong relationship between inputs (7 variables) and output (Evaluation). The curve of (Receiver operating characteristics) for algorithms gave a high-level specificity and sensitivity, and Gain charts were very close to together. According to the results, management of the company should take a logic decision about the evaluation of production process and extract the important variables that impact the evaluation.