Explainable Multivariate Time Series Classification: A Deep Neural Network Which Learns To Attend To Important Variables As Well As Informative Time Intervals
Tsung-Yu Hsieh, Suhang Wang, Yiwei Sun, Vasant Honavar

TL;DR
This paper introduces a convolutional neural network with an attention mechanism that identifies important variables and time intervals in multivariate time series, enhancing explainability and outperforming existing methods.
Contribution
The authors propose a novel modular convolution-based model with attention for explainable multivariate time series classification, highlighting relevant variables and time intervals.
Findings
Outperforms state-of-the-art baseline methods on benchmark datasets.
Identified variables and time intervals align with domain knowledge.
Model provides interpretable insights into classification decisions.
Abstract
Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building explainable classifiers from multi-variate time series data. A key criterion to understand such predictive models involves elucidating and quantifying the contribution of time varying input variables to the classification. Hence, we introduce a novel, modular, convolution-based feature extraction and attention mechanism that simultaneously identifies the variables as well as time intervals which determine the classifier output. We present results of extensive experiments with several benchmark data sets that show that the proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline methods on multi-variate time series classification task. The results of our…
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Taxonomy
TopicsTime Series Analysis and Forecasting · Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
