Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving with a Lane Heading Auxiliary Loss
Ross Greer, Nachiket Deo, and Mohan Trivedi

TL;DR
This paper introduces a new differentiable auxiliary loss function for trajectory prediction models in autonomous driving, improving lane-following accuracy and conforming to driving rules, demonstrated on the nuScenes benchmark.
Contribution
It proposes a novel auxiliary loss based on lane heading that enhances multimodal trajectory prediction models by enforcing driving rules.
Findings
Improved off-road and lane violation metrics on nuScenes.
Enhanced model conformity to lane directions.
Better handling of multimodal trajectory predictions.
Abstract
Predicting a vehicle's trajectory is an essential ability for autonomous vehicles navigating through complex urban traffic scenes. Bird's-eye-view roadmap information provides valuable information for making trajectory predictions, and while state-of-the-art models extract this information via image convolution, auxiliary loss functions can augment patterns inferred from deep learning by further encoding common knowledge of social and legal driving behaviors. Since human driving behavior is inherently multimodal, models which allow for multimodal output tend to outperform single-prediction models on standard metrics. We propose a loss function which enhances such models by enforcing expected driving rules on all predicted modes. Our contribution to trajectory prediction is twofold; we propose a new metric which addresses failure cases of the off-road rate metric by penalizing…
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