The COS Absorption Survey of Baryon Harbors: Unveiling the Physical Conditions of Circumgalactic Gas through Multiphase Bayesian Ionization Modeling
Karl J. Haislmaier, Todd M. Tripp, Neal Katz, J. Xavier Prochaska,, Joseph N. Burchett, John M. O'Meara, Jessica K. Werk

TL;DR
This study uses Bayesian multiphase ionization modeling to analyze quasar absorption systems, revealing complex, multi-temperature gas phases and challenging simple single-phase models, thereby improving understanding of circumgalactic media.
Contribution
Develops a Bayesian framework for multiphase ionization modeling that accounts for diverse ions and physical conditions in circumgalactic gas, surpassing traditional single-phase approaches.
Findings
At least two ionization phases are needed to explain observations.
Some ions originate from multiple phases within a single absorption component.
Collisionally ionized phases help achieve thermal pressure equilibrium.
Abstract
Quasar absorption systems encode a wealth of information about the abundances, ionization structure, and physical conditions in intergalactic and circumgalactic media. Simple (often single-phase) photoionization models are frequently used to decode such data. Using five discrete absorbers from the COS Absorption Survey of Baryon Harbors (CASBaH) that exhibit a wide range of detected ions (e.g., Mg II, S II--S VI, O II--O VI, Ne VIII), we show several examples where single-phase ionization models cannot reproduce the full set of measured column densities. To explore models that can self-consistently explain the measurements and kinematic alignment of disparate ions, we develop a Bayesian multiphase ionization modeling framework that characterizes discrete phases by their unique physical conditions and also investigates variations in the shape of the UV flux field, metallicity, and…
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