Running Hubble Tension and a H0 Diagnostic

TL;DR

This paper proposes that the Hubble tension may be due to a redshift-dependent variation of the Hubble constant within flat mbda CDM, introducing a diagnostic to detect such running of H0.

Contribution

It introduces a new diagnostic to identify potential redshift evolution of H0, suggesting the tension could be rooted in cosmological model assumptions.

Findings

Predicts multiple inferred H0 values within flat mbda CDM

Proposes a diagnostic to detect H0 running with redshift

Links Hubble tension to differences in effective equation of state

Abstract

Hubble tension is routinely presented as a mismatch between the Hubble constant $H_0$ determined locally and a value inferred from the flat $\Lambda$CDM cosmology. In essence, the tension boils down to a disagreement between two numbers. Here, assuming the tension is cosmological in origin, we predict that within flat $\Lambda$CDM there should be other inferred values of $H_0$, and that a "running of $H_0$ with redshift" can be expected. These additional determinations of $H_0$ may be traced to a difference between the effective equation of state (EoS) of the Universe within the Friedmann-Lema\^itre-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) cosmology framework and the current standard model. We introduce a diagnostic that flags such a running of $H_0$.