Tentative sensitivity of future $0\nu \beta\beta$-decay experiments to neutrino masses and Majorana CP phases

TL;DR

Future neutrinoless double-beta decay experiments with high sensitivity could significantly constrain neutrino masses and Majorana CP phases, providing insights into neutrino nature and mass ordering.

Contribution

This paper introduces a Bayesian statistical analysis of future $0 uetaeta$ decay experiments' sensitivity to neutrino parameters, including mass bounds and CP phase constraints.

Findings

Null results at 1 meV sensitivity tightly constrain lightest neutrino mass.

Majorana CP phase is constrained to 140°–220° at high sensitivity.

Lower sensitivity (10 meV) yields weaker mass bounds and unconstrained CP phases.

Abstract

In the near future, the neutrinoless double-beta ($0\nu\beta\beta$) decay experiments will hopefully reach the sensitivity of a few ${\rm meV}$ to the effective neutrino mass $|m^{}_{\beta\beta}|$. In this paper, we tentatively examine the sensitivity of future $0\nu\beta\beta$-decay experiments to neutrino masses and Majorana CP phases by following the Bayesian statistical approach. Provided experimental setups corresponding to the sensitivity of $|m^{}_{\beta\beta}| \simeq 1~{\rm meV}$, the null observation of $0\nu\beta\beta$ decays in the case of normal neutrino mass ordering leads to a very competitive bound on the lightest neutrino mass $m^{}_1$. Namely, the $95\%$ credible interval turns out to be $1.6~{\rm meV} \lesssim m^{}_1 \lesssim 7.3~{\rm meV}$ or $0.3~{\rm meV} \lesssim m^{}_1 \lesssim 5.6~{\rm meV}$ when the uniform prior on $m^{}_1/{\rm eV}$ or on $\log^{}_{10}(m^{}_1/{\rm eV})$ is adopted. Moreover, one of two Majorana CP phases is strictly constrained, i.e., $140^\circ \lesssim \rho \lesssim 220^\circ$ for both priors of $m^{}_1$. In contrast, if a relatively worse sensitivity of $|m^{}_{\beta\beta}| \simeq 10~{\rm meV}$ is assumed, the constraint becomes accordingly $0.6~{\rm meV} \lesssim m^{}_1 \lesssim 26~{\rm meV}$ or $0 \lesssim m^{}_1 \lesssim 6.1~{\rm meV}$, while two Majorana CP phases will be essentially unconstrained. In the same statistical framework, the prospects for the determination of neutrino mass ordering and the discrimination between Majorana and Dirac nature of massive neutrinos in the $0\nu\beta\beta$-decay experiments are also discussed. Given the experimental sensitivity of $|m^{}_{\beta\beta}| \simeq 10~{\rm meV}$ (or $1~{\rm meV}$), the strength of evidence to exclude the Majorana nature under the null observation of $0\nu\beta\beta$ decays is found to be inconclusive (or strong), no matter which of two priors on $m^{}_1$ is taken.