Detecting and monitoring long-term landslides in urbanized areas with nighttime light data and multi-seasonal Landsat imagery across Taiwan from 1998 to 2017

TL;DR

This study develops a robust, long-term landslide detection method for Taiwan using multi-seasonal Landsat imagery combined with nighttime light data and machine learning, achieving high accuracy over two decades.

Contribution

It introduces an integrated approach combining nighttime light data, multi-seasonal Landsat imagery, and digital elevation data with machine learning for improved landslide detection.

Findings

Combining nighttime light and multi-seasonal imagery significantly improves classification accuracy.

The method achieves 96-97% overall accuracy in mapping landslides.

Long-term analysis reveals persistent and recurrent landslide patterns.

Abstract

Monitoring long-term landslide activity is important for risk assessment and land management. Despite the widespread use of open-access 30m Landsat imagery, their utility for landslide detection is often limited when separating landslides from other anthropogenic disturbances. Here, we produce landslide maps retrospectively from 1998 to 2017 for landslide-prone and highly populated Taiwan (35,874 km2). To improve classification accuracy of landslides, we integrate nighttime light imagery from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), with multi-seasonal daytime optical Landsat time-series, and digital elevation data from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER). We employed a non-parametric machine-learning classifier, random forest, to classify the satellite imagery. The classifier was trained with data from three years (2005, 2010, and 2015), and was validated with an independent reference sample from twelve years. Our results demonstrated that combining nighttime light data and multi-seasonal imagery significantly improved the classification (p<0.001), compared to conventional methods based on single-season optical imagery. The results confirmed that the developed classification model enabled mapping of landslides across Taiwan over a long period with annual overall accuracy varying between 96% and 97%, user's and producer's accuracies between 73% and 86%. Spatiotemporal analysis of the landslide inventories from 1998 to 2017 revealed different temporal patterns of landslide activities, showing those areas where landslides were persistent and other areas where landslides tended to reoccur after vegetation regrowth. In sum, we provide a robust method to detect long-term landslide activities based on freely available satellite imagery, which can be applied elsewhere.