The Galactic cosmic ray intensity at the evolving Earth and young exoplanets
D. Rodgers-Lee, A. A. Vidotto, A. M. Taylor, P. B. Rimmer, T. P., Downes

TL;DR
This study models the evolution of Galactic cosmic ray intensity at Earth from 0.6 to 6 Gyr, revealing significantly lower cosmic ray fluxes in Earth's early history and providing formulas applicable to exoplanet atmospheres.
Contribution
It introduces a combined cosmic ray and stellar wind model to predict cosmic ray spectra over time for solar-type stars and exoplanets, with an analytic formula for different stellar ages.
Findings
Cosmic ray intensity at 1 Gyr was about 10 times lower than today.
Low-energy cosmic rays were more severely modulated in the early universe.
Most low-energy cosmic rays are attenuated before reaching exoplanet atmospheres.
Abstract
Cosmic rays may have contributed to the start of life on Earth. Here, we investigate the evolution of the Galactic cosmic ray spectrum at Earth from ages Gyr. We use a 1D cosmic ray transport model and a 1.5D stellar wind model to derive the evolving wind properties of a solar-type star. At Gyr, approximately when life is thought to have begun on Earth, we find that the intensity of GeV Galactic cosmic rays would have been times smaller than the present-day value. At lower kinetic energies, Galactic cosmic ray modulation would have been even more severe. More generally, we find that the differential intensity of low energy Galactic cosmic rays decreases at younger ages and is well described by a broken power-law in solar rotation rate. We provide an analytic formula of our Galactic cosmic ray spectra at Earth's orbit for different ages. Our model is…
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