An exploratory time series analysis of total deaths per month in Brazil since 2015

TL;DR

This study analyzes monthly death data in Brazil since 2015 to determine if the COVID-19 pandemic altered mortality patterns, finding no statistically significant impact.

Contribution

It provides an exploratory time series analysis of mortality data in Brazil, assessing pandemic effects on death rates with no significant changes detected.

Findings

No significant change in death series post-pandemic onset

Time series analysis shows stable mortality patterns

Pandemic did not statistically alter death mechanisms

Abstract

In this article, we investigate the historical series of the total number of deaths per month in Brazil since 2015 using time series analysis techniques, in order to assess whether the COVID-19 pandemic caused any change in the series' generating mechanism. The results obtained so far indicate that there was no statistical significant impact.