Hitting times for Shamir's Problem

TL;DR

This paper establishes the precise moment in a random hypergraph process when it almost surely contains a perfect matching, completing a long-standing conjecture about the hitting time for perfect matchings in random hypergraphs.

Contribution

It proves the asymptotically exact hitting time for the emergence of perfect matchings in random $r$-uniform hypergraphs, confirming the conjecture that this occurs near the threshold $Cn ext{log}n$.

Findings

The probability of a perfect matching approaches 1 at the hitting time as $n$ grows large.

The work confirms the conjectured threshold for the appearance of perfect matchings in random hypergraphs.

It completes the proof of the hitting time conjecture for Shamir's problem.

Abstract

For fixed $r\geq 3$ and $n$ divisible by $r$, let ${\mathcal H}={\mathcal H}^r_{n,M}$ be the random $M$-edge $r$-graph on $V=\{1,\ldots ,n\}$; that is, ${\mathcal H}$ is chosen uniformly from the $M$-subsets of ${\mathcal K}:={V \choose r}$ ($:= \{\mbox{$r$-subsets of $V$}\}$). Shamir's Problem (circa 1980) asks, roughly, for what $M=M(n)$ is ${\mathcal H}$ likely to contain a perfect matching (that is, $n/r$ disjoint $r$-sets)? In 2008 Johansson, Vu and the author showed that this is true for $M>C_rn\log n$. More recently the author proved the asymptotically correct version of that result: for fixed $C> 1/r$ and $M> Cn\log n$, $P({\mathcal H} ~\mbox{contains a perfect matching})\rightarrow 1 \,\,\, \mbox{as $n\rightarrow\infty$}.$ The present work completes a proof, begun in that recent paper, of the definitive "hitting time" statement: $\mbox{Theorem.}$ If $A_1, \ldots ~$ is a uniform permutation of ${\mathcal K}$, ${\mathcal H}_t=\{A_1\dots A_t\}$, and \[ T=\min\{t:A_1\cup \cdots\cup A_t=V\}, \] then $P({\mathcal H}_T ~\mbox{contains a perfect matching})\rightarrow 1 \,\,\, \mbox{as $n\rightarrow\infty$}$.