The New Generation Planetary Population Synthesis (NGPPS). I. Bern global model of planet formation and evolution, model tests, and emerging planetary systems

TL;DR

This paper introduces the Generation III Bern model, a comprehensive planetary formation and evolution simulation that predicts observable planetary properties across a wide mass and orbital range, validated against Solar System scenarios.

Contribution

It presents a new global model integrating formation and long-term evolution, capable of reproducing diverse planetary system architectures and observable characteristics.

Findings

The model produces terrestrial planets with a giant impact phase.

Jupiter-mass planets must form cores before gas disc dispersal.

Systems with only terrestrial planets tend to be well-ordered.

Abstract

Aims. Comparing theoretical models with observations allows one to make key step forward towards an understanding of planetary systems. It however requires a model able to (i) predict all the necessary observable quantities (not only masses and orbits, but also radii, luminosities, magnitudes, or evaporation rates) and (ii) address the large range in relevant planetary masses (from Mars mass to super-Jupiters) and distances (from stellar-grazing to wide orbits). Methods. We have developed a combined global end-to-end planetary formation and evolution model, the Generation III Bern model, based on the core accretion paradigm. This model solves as directly as possible the underlying differential equations for the structure and evolution of the gas disc, the dynamical state of the planetesimals, the internal structure of the planets yielding their planetesimal and gas accretion rates, disc-driven orbital migration, and the gravitational interaction of concurrently forming planets via a full N-body calculation. Importantly, the model also follows the long-term evolution of the planets on Gigayear timescales after formation including the effects of cooling and contraction, atmospheric escape, bloating, and stellar tides. Results. To test the model, we compared it with classical scenarios of Solar System formation. For the terrestrial planets, we find that we obtain a giant impact phase provided enough embryos (~100) are initially emplaced in the disc. For the giant planets, we find that Jupiter-mass planets must accrete their core shortly before the dispersal of the gas disc to prevent strong inward migration that would bring them to the inner edge of the disc. Conclusions. The model can form planetary systems with a wide range of properties. We find that systems with only terrestrial planets are often well-ordered while giant-planet bearing systems show no such similarity.