The Competition for Partners in Matching Markets

TL;DR

This paper analyzes how market connectivity influences equilibrium outcomes in two-sided matching markets, revealing a threshold at log^2 n that separates regimes of weak and strong competition, with practical implications for market design and diagnostics.

Contribution

It provides a formal characterization of stable matchings in large random markets with heterogeneous preferences and introduces a threshold-based framework for understanding competition effects.

Findings

A log^2 n connectivity threshold separates competition regimes.

Optimal market connectivity often lies at or below the threshold for best welfare outcomes.

A new diagnostic principle helps determine which side has a competitive advantage based on market data.

Abstract

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets, with each agent having an average degree $d$ in a random (undirected) graph, and a uniformly random preference ranking over their neighbors in the graph. We formally characterize stable matchings in large markets random with small imbalance and find a threshold in the connectivity $d$ at $\log^2 n$ (where $n$ is the number of agents on one side of the market) which separates a ``weak competition'' regime, where agents on both sides of the market do equally well, from a ``strong competition'' regime, where agents on the short (long) side of the market enjoy a significant advantage (disadvantage). Numerical simulations confirm and sharpen our theoretical predictions, and demonstrate robustness to our assumptions. We leverage our characterizations in two ways: First, we derive prescriptive insights into how to design the connectivity of the market to trade off optimally between the average agent welfare achieved and the number of agents who remain unmatched in the market. For most market primitives, we find that the optimal connectivity should lie in the weak competition regime or at the threshold between the regimes. Second, our analysis uncovers a new conceptual principle governing whether the short side enjoys a significant advantage in a given matching market, which can moreover be applied as a diagnostic tool given only basic summary statistics for the market. Counterfactual analyses using data on centralized high school admissions in a major USA city show the practical value of both our design insights and our diagnostic principle.