The nearest discovered black hole is likely not in a triple configuration
Mohammadtaher Safarzadeh, Silvia Toonen, Abraham Loeb

TL;DR
This paper argues that HR 6819 is unlikely a hierarchical triple system with a black hole, and is more probably a chance superposition of a Be star and a binary, based on statistical, dynamical, and evolutionary considerations.
Contribution
The study provides a comprehensive analysis combining statistical estimates, dynamical stability constraints, and numerical simulations to challenge the triple system interpretation of HR 6819.
Findings
The expected number of such systems in the Milky Way is much lower than previously claimed.
Dynamical stability and observational constraints limit the possible orbital configurations.
Numerical simulations show the system can be explained as a chance superposition.
Abstract
HR 6819 was recently claimed to be a hierarchical triple system of a Be star in a wide orbit around an inner binary system of a black hole (BH) and a B III type star. We argue that this system is unlikely to be a hierarchical triple due to three reasons: (i) Given that this system is discovered in a magnitude limited Bright Star Catalog, the expected number of such systems in the Milky Way amounts to about while the estimate for the MW budget for such systems is between systems under generous assumptions. Such a large gap cannot be reconciled as it would otherwise likely overflow the MW budget for BHs; (ii) The dynamical stability of this system sets lower bounds on the orbital separation of the outer Be star, while it not being resolved by Gaia places an upper limit on its projected sky separation. We show that these two constraints would imply a narrow range for the…
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