Probability Theory with Superposition Events: A Classical Generalization in the Direction of Quantum Mechanics
David Ellerman

TL;DR
This paper extends classical finite probability theory by introducing superposition events represented as matrices, creating a framework that parallels quantum mechanics using density matrices and non-commutative operations over Z_2.
Contribution
It generalizes finite probability theory to include superposition events and models quantum-like phenomena within a classical probabilistic framework using matrix representations.
Findings
Superposition events can be represented by 2D matrices in finite probability.
Probabilities for superposition events are computed using density matrices similar to quantum mechanics.
The model reproduces key non-classical results characteristic of quantum mechanics.
Abstract
In finite probability theory, events are subsets of the outcome set. Subsets can be represented by 1-dimensional column vectors. By extending the representation of events to two dimensional matrices, we can introduce "superposition events." Probabilities are introduced for classical events, superposition events, and their mixtures by using density matrices. Then probabilities for experiments or `measurements' of all these events can be determined in a manner exactly like in quantum mechanics (QM) using density matrices. Moreover the transformation of the density matrices induced by the experiments or `measurements' is the Luders mixture operation as in QM. And finally by moving the machinery into the n-dimensional vector space over Z_2, different basis sets become different outcome sets. That `non-commutative' extension of finite probability theory yields the pedagogical model of…
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