Inference offers a metric to constrain dynamical models of neutrino flavor transformation
Eve Armstrong, Amol V. Patwardhan, Ermal Rrapaj, Sina Fallah Ardizi,, George M. Fuller

TL;DR
This paper introduces a variational data assimilation method to efficiently identify feasible solutions in neutrino flavor transformation models, aiding the understanding of complex astrophysical environments.
Contribution
It develops a novel machine learning-based variational approach to constrain dynamical models of neutrino flavor evolution, improving solution space exploration.
Findings
Efficiently identifies solution regimes consistent with measured neutrino fluxes.
Rules out infeasible flavor transformation scenarios.
Demonstrates potential for probing complex astrophysical neutrino environments.
Abstract
The multi-messenger astrophysics of compact objects presents a vast range of environments where neutrino flavor transformation may occur and may be important for nucleosynthesis, dynamics, and a detected neutrino signal. Development of efficient techniques for surveying flavor evolution solution spaces in these diverse environments, which augment and complement existing sophisticated computational tools, could leverage progress in this field. To this end we continue our exploration of statistical data assimilation (SDA) to identify solutions to a small-scale model of neutrino flavor transformation. SDA is a machine learning (ML) formula wherein a dynamical model is assumed to generate any measured quantities. Specifically, we use an optimization formulation of SDA wherein a cost function is extremized via the variational method. Regions of state space in which the extremization…
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