Immediate and delayed responses of power lines and transformers in the Czech electric power grid to geomagnetic storms

TL;DR

This study investigates how geomagnetic storms influence power line and transformer anomalies in the Czech electric grid, revealing immediate increases in power line issues and delayed transformer problems linked to geomagnetic activity.

Contribution

It provides the first detailed analysis of immediate and delayed device responses to geomagnetic storms in the Czech power grid, using superposed epoch analysis and multiple geomagnetic indices.

Findings

Power line anomalies increase immediately within 1 day after storms.

Transformer anomalies show a delayed increase 2-3 days post-storm.

Approximately 5-10% of anomalies are related to geomagnetic activity.

Abstract

Eruptive events of solar activity often trigger abrupt variations of the geomagnetic field. Through the induction of electric currents, human infrastructures are also affected, namely the equipment of electric power transmission networks. It was shown in past studies that the rate of power-grid anomalies may increase after an exposure to strong geomagnetically induced currents. We search for a rapid response of devices in the Czech electric distribution grid to disturbed days of high geomagnetic activity. Such disturbed days are described either by the cumulative storm-time $Dst$ or $d(\textit{SYM-H})/dt$ low-latitude indices mainly influenced by ring current variations, by the cumulative $AE$ high-latitude index measuring substorm-related auroral current variations, or by the cumulative $ap$ mid-latitude index measuring both ring and auroral current variations. We use superposed epoch analysis to identify possible increases of anomaly rates during and after such disturbed days. We show that in the case of abundant series of anomalies on power lines, the anomaly rate increases significantly immediately (within 1 day) after the onset of geomagnetic storms. In the case of transformers, the increase of the anomaly rate is generally delayed by 2--3 days. We also find that transformers and some electric substations seem to be sensitive to a prolonged exposure to substorms, with a delayed increase of anomalies. Overall, we show that in the 5-day period following the commencement of geomagnetic activity there is an approximately 5--10\% increase in the recorded anomalies in the Czech power grid and thus this fraction of anomalies is probably related to an exposure to GICs.