Searching for a standard Drake equation
Jose Antonio Molina Molina

TL;DR
This paper proposes an updated, standardized Drake equation for estimating extraterrestrial civilizations, emphasizing its scientific application in testing hypotheses about extraterrestrial life.
Contribution
It introduces a new, more accurate form of the Drake equation and discusses its scientific validity and necessary conditions for use.
Findings
A new expression for the Drake equation is derived.
The equation's use in scientific contexts requires N>1.
The classic Drake equation is a special case of the new formulation.
Abstract
In the 20th century the scientific search for extraterrestrial intelligence began, and the Drake equation was proposed to estimate the number of extraterrestrial species humanity could attempt to detect, N. This paper discusses the need to update and standardize this equation. A new and more accurate expression is deduced which contains the classic equation as a particular case, and its advantages are discussed. A necessary condition is also stated for its use in scientific contexts: if N is defined as the total number of civilizations like ours then N = 1, given that we exist, and consequently the working hypothesis of the SETI project can be expressed as N>1. In this case, the Drake equation is being applied in a scientific way, because it is trying to test a hypothesis based on evidence.
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Taxonomy
TopicsSpace Science and Extraterrestrial Life · Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution · Planetary Science and Exploration
