Greed is Good: Exploration and Exploitation Trade-offs in Bayesian Optimisation

TL;DR

This paper investigates the exploration-exploitation trade-offs in Bayesian optimisation, introducing epsilon-greedy acquisition functions that outperform traditional methods, especially in high-dimensional problems and limited budgets.

Contribution

It introduces two novel epsilon-greedy acquisition functions for Bayesian optimisation and demonstrates their effectiveness over traditional methods through extensive empirical evaluation.

Findings

Epsilon-greedy methods perform at least as well as traditional acquisition functions.

In higher dimensions, epsilon-greedy approaches outperform conventional methods.

Epsilon-greedy strategies are effective on real-world optimisation problems.

Abstract

The performance of acquisition functions for Bayesian optimisation to locate the global optimum of continuous functions is investigated in terms of the Pareto front between exploration and exploitation. We show that Expected Improvement (EI) and the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) always select solutions to be expensively evaluated on the Pareto front, but Probability of Improvement is not guaranteed to do so and Weighted Expected Improvement does so only for a restricted range of weights. We introduce two novel $\epsilon$-greedy acquisition functions. Extensive empirical evaluation of these together with random search, purely exploratory, and purely exploitative search on 10 benchmark problems in 1 to 10 dimensions shows that $\epsilon$-greedy algorithms are generally at least as effective as conventional acquisition functions (e.g., EI and UCB), particularly with a limited budget. In higher dimensions $\epsilon$-greedy approaches are shown to have improved performance over conventional approaches. These results are borne out on a real world computational fluid dynamics optimisation problem and a robotics active learning problem. Our analysis and experiments suggest that the most effective strategy, particularly in higher dimensions, is to be mostly greedy, occasionally selecting a random exploratory solution.